Dryness may persist in East Africa as seasonal rains end, flooding possible in the Sudans, West Africa, and Guatemala
Africa Weather Hazards
Poor rainfall distribution during the March-May rainfall season has hurt agricultural and pastoral activities throughout western Kenya, parts of northeastern Uganda, southeastern South Sudan, and northwestern Tanzania. Southern Ethiopia and northwestern Kenya are forecast to receive limited rains during the next week, which could sustain poor agricultural and pastoral conditions.
Dry spells since mid-April has led to a rapid deterioration of ground conditions throughout portions of southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of northwestern Tanzania. The negative impacts of this dryness may persist, as seasonal rainfall is expected to decrease over the next few months.
Enhanced rains over the past several weeks have resulted in large rainfall surpluses over parts of southern Sudan and South Sudan. Forecasts favor the development of torrential rains throughout many areas of western South Sudan and southwestern Sudan during the next week, with an increased potential for localized flooding in these areas.
Heavy and above-average rains since the beginning of June have oversaturated ground conditions in southern Mali and northeastern Guinea. After a slight decrease in rainfall during the past week, the return of heavy downpours is forecast for the next week, increasing risks for new flooding across the region.
